Penn
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 95.5484Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 9-12 217 A Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 15-10 221 H Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 14- 6 227 H North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 9-11 301 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 8- 9 308 A Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 10- 6 314 H Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.7) 9-12 321 A Yale Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9- 7 328 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 16-14 404 H Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4) 8-16 411 A Princeton Ivy (13- 2, 99.4) 8-20 418 A Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 12-11 424 N Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 13-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Georgetown 9-12 -3 -1 -1.94
217 A Albany 15-10 5 1 + 3.87
221 H Delaware 14- 6 8 7 0.00
227 H North Carolina 9-11 -2 -2 -0.22
301 H Syracuse 8- 9 -1 -2 0.72
308 A Villanova 10- 6 4 1 + 2.87
314 H Harvard 9-12 -3 0 - -3.27
321 A Yale 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.65
328 A Dartmouth 16-14 2 1 0.98
404 H Cornell 8-16 -8 -1 -- -5.51
411 A Princeton 8-20 -12 -5 -1.75
418 A Brown 12-11 1 1 0.01
424 N Massachusetts 13-11 2 2 -0.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Cornell 8-16 -8 -1 -- -5.51 314 H Harvard 9-12 -3 0 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Yale 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 4.65 217 A Albany 15-10 5 1 + 3.87 308 A Villanova 10- 6 4 1 + 2.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 9-12 -1.92 18.68 -1.38 1.10 -1.81
3 A Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 15-10 -6.86 13.74 1.38 1.10 33.27
3 H Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 14- 6 -10.11 10.49 -1.38 1.10 20.07
3 H North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 9-11 -1.19 19.40 -1.38 1.10 -1.41
3 H Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 8- 9 -1.26 19.34 -1.38 1.10 -1.45
3 A Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 10- 6 -6.85 13.74 1.38 1.10 33.29
3 H Harvard ( 9- 5, 96.7) 9-12 -3.24 17.35 -1.38 1.10 -2.54
3 A Yale ( 9- 5, 96.8) 9- 7 -3.07 17.52 1.38 1.10 41.61
3 A Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 16-14 -6.75 13.85 1.38 1.10 33.53
3 H Cornell (11- 4, 98.4) 8-16 -1.48 19.11 -1.38 1.10 -1.57
3 A Princeton (13- 2, 99.4) 8-20 -0.48 20.12 1.38 1.10 -0.49
3 A Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 12-11 -6.72 13.88 1.38 1.10 33.59
3 N Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 13-11 -6.77 13.83 -0.00 1.10 30.46
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216.53
|
winning pts = 225.8186 losing points = -9.2879
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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